SOLAR FLARE AND SOLAR MINIMUM – A POWERFUL COMBINATION!
HERE IS THE WEATHER FORECAST – AND IT’S IMPORTANT ….
Do you remember The Big Storm of 15th October 1987? Do you remember Michael Fish, the BBC Weatherman saying that earlier that day a woman had called the BBC to say that a hurricane was on its way? Dapper as always, Michael Fish moved to reassure the British public – “don’t worry, there isn’t a storm coming.”
I would hate to be known as the Michael Fish of the Indigo tribe – so here is the weather forecast according not to me, but to those who keep an eye on the much bigger picture.
Please do take a few minutes to read, because it is here and it is now.
WHAT ARE CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS?
They are enormous bursts or expulsions of superheated gas (plasma) and magnetic field from the Sun’s corona. This is what is sometimes called “The Sun Sneezing”.
According to the Space Weather Prediction Centre at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in US, “they can eject billions of tons of coronal material and carry an embedded magnetic field (frozen n flux) that is stronger than the background solar wind interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) strength….The fastest Earth-directed CMEs can reach our planet in as little as 15-18 hours, slower CMEs can take several days to arrive. They expand in size as they propagate away from the Sun and larger CMEs can reach a size comprising nearly a quarter of the space between Earth and the Sun by the time it reaches our planet.”
WHAT IS A SOLAR MINIMUM?
The north and south magnetic poles of the Sun switch places every 11 years or so, at the solar minimum in the normal Solar Cycle. We are currently in Solar Cycle 24, as measured by scientists around the world.
In 2019 NOAA predicted that the solar minimum between Cycles 24 and 25 would occur in April 2020, plus
or minus 6 months.
During a solar minimum, there are minimal quantities of sunspots and flares. Ultraviolet radiation decreases, and there is an increase in galactic cosmic rays from, for instance, supernovae.
The Earth’s magnetic field is weakened as the solar minimum approaches.
This time, there is an additional factor – a Magnetic Excursion / Reversal, also known as a Pole Shift.
You may have heard that the poles are shifting towards each other: all sorts of navigational standards and equipment have had to be re-calibrated. It is forecast that, at this rate, the poles will meet over Indonesia within the next few years. Let’s just say this is not good news.
Writing in forbes.com in May of this year, Jamie Carter quoted spaceweather.com who reported that there had, at that time, been 100 days in 2020 with zero sunspots. It is the 2nd consecutive year of record-setting low numbers of sunspots – “this is a sign that solar minimum is under way.”
And on electroverse.net Cap Allon says that NASA’s forecast for the next solar cycle (25) reveals it will be the weakest of the last 200 years. The maximum in terms of sunspots (the usual measurement of max / min) could be 30% to 50% lower than the most recent one. NASA estimates that Cycle 25 will start in 2020 and reach solar maximum in 2025.
Respected researcher Valentia Zharkova suggests that all four of the sun’s magnetic fields will go out of phase in 2020.
WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?
Let me quote Cap Allon, writing on electroverse.net on 10th June 2020:
“A dark magnetic filament bisecting sunspot AR2765 erupted on 9th June at 1800 UT (Universal Time, same as GMT for mere mortals). NOAA analysts are examining the event to see if it hurled any material toward Earth, and they’ve just upgraded the threat.
It seems that there will be a burst of high-density plasma hitting Earth on 13th June.
Earth will be engulfed by an intense plasma stream on 11th June which will increase in density throughout the 12th to peak around noon UT on the 13th.
Multiple waves of solar wind look set to combine and then follow the plasma over the coming days, and even a second and possibly a third burst of plasma could start arriving from 17th onwards …
We should prepare for an uptick in seismic and volcanic activity, particularly on 13th / 14th.
The risk of power-outages and grid failures as the plasma field hits on the 13th cannot be ignored – we’re being “hit” while our shield (magnetic field) is weakening due to the ongoing Solar Minimum and the pole shift.”
DON’T LET’S FORGET THE PLANETS
There’s a Solar Eclipse in Cancer on 21st June, Summer Solstice, and a New Moon too!
Jupiter, Saturn and Pluto are in conjunction on 30th June, but as they are triggered by the Moon, there’s a few days’ leeway either side. They are all retrograde right now, as is Venus. Mercury goes retrograde on 18th June and Neptune goes retrograde on 23rd June.
It might be getting a tad bumpy out there!